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WANGER
Job description President of the Chicago-based Acorn Fund, run by investment firm Harris Associates. Investment style Theme-driven investment in smaller growth companies for the medium to long term. Profile After a brief period in insurance, Wanger joined Harris Associates in 1960 as an analyst. Later he became a portfolio manager. In 1970, he was put in charge of the Acorn Fund. He has since turned this into one of the top-performing growth funds of the last 30 years. In the six months after its launch, the Acorn Fund lost over a third of its value in the most severe market downturn since the Thirties. Thankfully, the market recovered in the second half of the year and the fund survived. But the experience taught Wanger the value of a light-hearted approach to the vagaries of the market. He subsequently became famous for his amusing quarterly reports: He recently summarized his time at the fund in his book A Zebra in Lion Country (1999). Long-term returns The Acorn Fund returned 17.2% annually between 1970 and 1998, against a return from the S&P500 index of 14.4%. Biggest success Wanger has made big money from many unglamorous small companies. One is International Game Technology, the world's leading maker of slot machines. He paid USD1 a share for it in 1988, when new management had just taken over and were planning a new range of electronic slot machines. In 1993, the stock hit a high of USD40. Method and guidelines Concentrate on spotting trends that will last for at least 4-5 years. Your life is driven by strong economic, social and technological trends. These also drive corporate sales and profits. When thinking of investing, start by looking around you and picking out those trends you think will be the most important and longest-lasting. Wanger's own favourites include:
Think small. Smaller companies as a group have made far more profitable investments than larger ones. Although you cannot buy large numbers of them, try to focus your research on the best prospects in this group. But avoid micro companies - they are too risky. (In the UK, this means sticking to companies with a capitalization of about £30m-£250m.) The best small companies are those that dominate their chosen niche. Their characteristics include:
Look downstream for the best profits. T Rowe Price focused on the leaders in growth industries. But the best money is often to be made by the downstream beneficiaries of a growth business. To use the old cliché, it wasn't the prospectors that made the money in the Yukon gold rush, it was those who sold them the picks and shovels. » Example Rather than investing in semiconductor companies like Intel that manufactured microchips, Wanger went for cellular telephone companies that built their products into handsets. Insist on financial strength. Growth can only be sustained by companies with strong finances. It will be undermined by those that have to guzzle cash to feed their growth. So
Insist on fundamental value. A good company is not necessarily a good stock unless it is attractively priced. Look for companies that are cheap in relation to their earnings-growth potential.
Sell only reluctantly. If you have done your homework, you should be able to hold stocks for at least 4-5 years as a trend plays out. Wanger himself only turns over about one-quarter of his portfolio each year. Sometimes, though, the P/E will rise to dangerous levels. Then you should sell some or all of your stock to reduce risk. Wanger sold International Game Technology when its P/E reached 40 and its estimated growth rate was 25%. "In real-life portfolio management, sell decisions are often tough. You can't really apply hard-and-fast rules. Instead, you have to continually re-evaluate each situation." Key sayings "First I determine themes that will be played out over the next several years. Then I identify groups of stocks that reflect those themes." "What I don't want are me-too companies that rank fifth or sixth in their industry, because their profit margins will rarely be as good as those of the industry leaders." "Going downstream - investing in the businesses that will benefit from new technology rather than in the technology companies themselves - is often the smarter strategy." "Assume that one of your eccentric friends who runs a large bank has just offered to lend you a great deal of money at about 10 percent interest, with which you may tender for all the stock of the company you are studying at the current market price. If you study the company and say 'Boy, this is terrific! Give me the loan and I'll do it. I'll quit my job and go run that company. It's a tremendous bargain,' then you probably have a good stock." Further information John Train profiled Wanger in The New Money Masters(1989). One of the appendices contains some fine extracts from the quarterly reports. Wanger himself brings the story up to date in A Zebra in Lion Country (1999). |
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