Thursday January 15, 10:59 AM
INDICATORS - Bulgaria - Updated Jan 15
(Updates with Jan-Nov current account data)
New items are marked by asterisk (*)
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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
Q3/08 Q2/08 9-MO/08 Q3/07 9-MO/07
y/y pct chng +6.8 +7.1 +7.0 +4.9 +5.9
bln levs 18.61 15.94 48.04 15.74 40.17
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BULGARIAN CONSUMER PRICES DEC/08 NOV/08 DEC/07
m/m pct change -0.2 -0.1 +1.1
y/y pct change +7.8 +9.1 +12.5
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EU HARMONISED PRICE INFLATION DEC/08 NOV/08 DEC/07
m/m pct change -0.4 -0.4 +1.1
y/y pct change +7.2 +8.8 +11.6
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UNEMPLOYMENT RATE NOV/08 OCT/08 NOV/07
monthly total 216,842 216,644 245,275
pct of workforce 5.85 5.85 6.62
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PRODUCER PRICE INFLATION NOV/08 OCT/08 NOV/07
m/m pct change -3.0 -0.8 +1.9
y/y pct change +4.8 +10.1 +13.2
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INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT NOV/08 OCT/08 (revised) NOV/07
m/m pct change -5.0 +0.3 +0.1
y/y pct change -8.8 -2.7 +7.1
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INDUSTRIAL SALES NOV/08 OCT/08(revised) NOV/07
m/m pct change -8.0 -3.6 -2.8
y/y pct change -11.5 -5.1 +5.3
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GROSS FOREIGN DEBT
(in million euros) END-OCT/08 END-SEPT/07 END-OCT/07
(revised)
GROSS FOREIGN DEBT 36,424.3 35,812.1 26,673.8
LONG-TERM DEBT 22,553.0 22,377.6 18,099.8
SHORT-TERM DEBT 13,871.3 13,434.5 9,433.4
PUBLIC DEBT&STATE
GUARANTEED LOANS 4,209.5 4,053.4 4,104.7
PRIVATE FOREIGN DEBT 32,214.8 31,758.7 22,569.1
PUBLIC FOREIGN DEBT 2,845.0 2,728.9 3,158.4
COMMERCIAL BANKS DEBT 9,263.8 8,948.0 4,762.1
PUBLIC AND PRIVATE
CORPORATE DEBT 11,995.2 11,868.9 9,319.9
FDI: INTER-FIRM DEBT 12,320.3 12,266.3 9,433.4
FOREIGN DEBT/PCT OF GDP 107.1 105.3 92.3
DEBT SERVICE/PCT OF GDP 16.6 15.5 19.2
SHORT-TERM/TOTAL DEBT (PCT) 38.1 37.5 32.1
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*BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
(in million euros)
NOV/08 JAN-NOV/08 JAN-NOV/07
CURRENT ACCOUNT -825.7 -7,465.8 -5,362.7
TRADE BALANCE -747.2 -8,178.5 -6,489.6
exports, FOB 1,077.6 14,328.7 12,402.4
imports, FOB -1,824.8 -22,507.3 -18,891.9
SERVICES, net -17.1 1,148.4 1,157.9
INCOME, net -69.0 -939.3 -329.4
TRANSFERS, net change 4.9 503.7 298.5
FINANCIAL ACCOUNT* 826.7 10,926.1 10,076.1
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT 260.7 5,274.6 5,963.3
COUNTRY'S ASSETS INVESTED
ABROAD, net chng** 298.0 597.9 -62.3
BNB FOREX RESERVES, net** -49.1 -2,234.7 -3,292.9
IMF LOANS, net change 0.0 0.0 -255.3
LOANS FROM OTHER LENDERS
net change 0.0 0.0 0.0
OVERALL BALANCE 49.1 2,234.7 3,292.9
C/A DEFICIT AS PCT/GDP n.a 21.9 18.6
NOTES:(*) The financial account includes direct and portfolio
investment flows plus foreign loans to government structures
and the private sector less balance of payments support, which
is part of foreign exchange reserves. (**) A minus sign in
the entry denotes an increase, while a plus sign denotes a
decrease.
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CURRENCY BOARD FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
1.95583 levs per euro from July 5, 1999 CENTRAL BANK DAILY
LEV/DOLLAR REFERENCE EXCHANGE RATES USED FOR STATISTICAL AND
ACCOUNTING PURPOSES
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* The Finance ministry has made the following forecasts for
major economic indicators for 2009 and 2008. The projections are
subject to revision. 2007 indicators had been announced by the
statistics office, the central bank and the finance ministry:
2009 2008 2007
Budget balance, (pct/GDP) +3.0 +3.5 +3.7
GDP real growth, pct +4.7 +6.5 +6.2
GDP bln levs 72.230 64.929 56.520
EU HARMONISED CPI (end-year) +5.4 +9.8 +11.6
EU HARMONISED CPI (average) +6.7 +12.4 +7.6
Current account deficit (pct/GDP) 22.2 24.0 21.8
FDI (bln euro) 5.37 6.13 6.52
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