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Thursday July 16, 01:28 PM
Analyst Picks and Pans: Intel, Yum Brands, 3PAR

Intel Corp (NASDAQ: INTC - news) . (INTC)

Barclays (LSE: BARC.L - news)
raises estimates, price target

After the close of trading July 14, Intel posted better-than-expected second-quarter earnings of $0.18 per share [non-GAAP]. Barclays analyst Tim Luke said on July 15 that Intel delivered strong second-quarter results ahead of already elevated investor expectations for sales and margins. He said the $8 billion in reported revenue was up 2% quarter-over-quarter, well above Wall Street's $7.3 billion forecast and high-end expectations at $7.5 billion-$7.6 billion. Luke also noted Intel's 51% gross margins, vs. the 46% Street consensus, and its $0.18 EPS [excluding the fine it paid to the European Commission] vs. the $0.08 consensus.

Luke raised his $0.54 2009 EPS estimate to $0.81, and his $0.90 2010 estimate to $1.15. He also hiked his $18 price target to $19, and maintains an equal-weight rating on the shares.

Yum Brands (NYSE: YUM - news) (YUM)

UBS (Virt-X: UBSN.VX - news) maintains buy

UBS analyst David Palmer said on July 15 that Yum's $0.50 second-quarter EPS came in $0.07 above the Wall Street consensus on a favorable tax rate. But despite the upside, Yum kept its 2009 view at $2.10 EPS. Palmer said this is a mild disappointment, and believes it reflects a sobering top-line in the U.S., and, to a lesser degree China. Palmer thinks China same-store sales are gradually improving due to easing comparisons rather than a rebound in consumer demand. The analyst notes input cost relief has been supporting earnings, but not enough for an upward revision to guidance.

Palmer maintains a $38 price target, 16 times his $2.39 2010 EPS estimate.

3PAR Inc. (PAR)

Merriman Curhan downgrades to neutral from buy

Merriman Curhan analyst Alex Kurtz said on July 15 that after a disappointing first-quarter preannouncement, "flattish" guidance for September, and what looks like increasing competitive pressures from EMC (EMC (NYSE: EMC - news) ), he expects 3PAR's stock price to be range-bound near-term in the $7.75-$8.25 range. He still believes 3PAR's platform provides a key alternative high-end platform to larger incumbents. Yet the company's lack of profitability and limited growth prospects in fiscal 2010 [ending March] argue for a more in-line enterprise value-to-sales multiple with the company's peer group.

Kurtz cuts his $0.15 fiscal 2010 EPS estimate to $0.02.

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