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Comment & Analysis

Sunday November 8, 02:21 PM
INDICATORS - Egypt - Nov 8

--- INTEREST RATES --- Latest Date Pvs Rate 4 weeks ago 91-day T-bill yield 9.695 10/11/09 9.715 9.715 182-day T-bill yield 9.952 3/11/09 9.949 9.773 266-day T-bill yield 10.219 10/11/09 ---- ---- 273-day T-bill yield 10.211 3/11/09 10.247 9.781 350-day T-bill yield 9.806 1/9/09 9.794 10.273 357-day T-bill yield 10.239 3/11/09 10.237 9.813 364-day T-bill yield 10.263 10/11/09 10.242 9.913 Central bank (CBSU.PK - news) discount rate 8.5 2/8/09 9.0 9.0 Central bank o/n deposit 8.25 17/9/09 8.5 8.5 Central bank o/n lending 9.75 17/8/09 10.0 10.0 Overnight interbank 8.268 5/11/09 8.270 8.280 --- MONTHLY DATA --- Month Pvs Yr ago Countrywide CPI change Sept 10.2 8.4 22.2 (year-on-year, percent) Countrywide CPI index Sept 142.8 140.0 129.5 Urban consumer prices Sept 10.8 9.0 21.5 (year/year, pct change) Urban consumer price Sept 141.3 138.7 127.6 index Core (Berlin: LJ1.BE - news) inflation Sept 6.3 5.8 23.0 (year-on-year, percent) Producer price index Sept 152.4 152.8 163.3 Foreign reserves ($bln) Oct 34.03 33.51 35.03 Oil output (mln tonnes) Aug 2,974 2,984 3,006 Suez Canal ($mln) Sept 382.5 371.8 469.6 Money supply M2 Sept 8.99 7.1 14.07 (pct change yr/yr) --- QUARTERLY DATA --- Q4 2008/09* Q3 2008/09 Q4 2007/2008 (*provisional figures) (all in millions of dollars) Trade balance -5,680 -4,866 -6,626 Exports 5,915 5,658 8,518 Oil 2,416 2,607 4,552 Non-oil 3,498 3,051 3,966 Imports -11,595 -10,524 -15,144 Net services 2,878 2,158 4,170 Goods and services balance -2,802 -2,708 -2,456 Transfers 1,807 1,790 2,945 Current account balance -994 -918 489 Capital account 702 -1347 3,933 Net errors/omissions -743 469 -3,916 OVERALL BALANCE -1,035 -1,796 506 Q4 2008/09 Q3 2008/09 Q4 2007/08 Tourism receipts ($mln) 1,832 2,188 2,393 Q1 2009/10 Q4 2008/09 Q1 2008/09 GDP growth (percent) 4.9 4.7 5.8 --- ANNUAL DATA --- 2008/2009* 2007/2008 2006/2007 (*preliminary figures) Real GDP growth (% change) 4.7 7.2 7.1 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ($mln) -3,378 5,420 5,282 Trade balance -25,173 -23,415 -16,291 Exports 25,169 29,356 22,018 Oil 11,005 14,473 10,108 Non-oil 14,164 14,883 11,910 Imports -50,342 -52,771 -38,308 Net services 12,502 14,966 11,771 Goods and services -12,671 -8,449 -4,792 Transfers 8,247 9,338 7,061 Current account -4,424 888 2,269 Capital account 1,381 7,558 853 Net errors/omissions -335 -3,025 -2,160 --- LONG-TERM CREDIT RATINGS --- Standard & Poors BB plus (non-investment grade) Moody's Ba1 (non-investment grade) Fitch BB plus (non-investment grade) * The base for the index has been changed to January 2007 Other notes: 1. Fiscal year is July-June. 2. Data from Central Bank except for the following: Interbank rate - Private banks CPI & Tourism - Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics Suez Canal & Oil production - Cabinet Information and Decision Support Centre ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ To access the following, click on the codes in brackets. Country codes All Egyptian news Economic indicator news Reuters News At a Glance (GLCE.PK - news) Keywords: EGYPT INDICATORS/

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CENTRAL BANK
CBSU.PK
8.00
+0.00%
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GLCE.PK
0.00
+0.00%
CORE
LJ1.BE
4.51
+1.12%
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