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Comment & Analysis

Friday July 3, 02:37 PM
FACTBOX-British economy checklist ahead of BoE meeting

LONDON, July 3 (Reuters) - The Bank of England looks set to keep interest rates at 0.5 percent when it announces its monthly policy decision at 1100 GMT on July 9. Most attention will focus on whether it raises its 125 billion pound target
for quantitative easing. Following is a summary of the main UK economic data over the past month. (Double-click on codes in last column for previous stories) LATEST RELATION F'CAST JUNE PVS STORIES TO F'CAST MEETING CPI (NYSE: CPY - news) yy 2.2 STRONGER 2.0 2.3 RPI yy -1.1 STRONGER -1.5 -1.2 RPI-X yy 1.6 STRONGER 1.3 1.7 PPI Output yy* -- -- -- -0.3 Ave Earnings 0.8 STRONGER 0.1 -0.4 3m yy Claimant Count 39.3 STRONGER 60.0 57.1 Change (000s) Jobless Rate 7.2 STRONGER 7.3 7.1 (ILO) RetailSales mm -0.6 WEAKER 0.4 0.9 CBI Sales bal. -17 SAME -17 -17 GfK Consumer -25 SAME -25 -27 confidence BoE Mortgage 43,414 WEAKER 46 43,201 approvals(000s) BoE Mortgage +0.324 WEAKER +1.1 +0.973 lending(bln stg) BoE Consumer +0.300 STRONGER +0.250 +0.314 Credit RICS Housing -44.1 STRONGER -51 -59.9 Nationwide mm +0.9 STRONGER -0.4 +1.2 Halifax mm* -- -- -- +2.6 Manufacturing 0.2 STRONGER UNCH -0.1 output mm Industrial 0.3 STRONGER -0.1 -0.6 output mm CBI Orders bal. -51 WEAKER -45 -56 Mfg PMI 47.0 STRONGER 46.5 45.4 Svcs PMI 51.6 WEAKER 52.0 51.7 GDP qq -2.4 WEAKER -2.1 -1.9 Trade Gap -7.003 WEAKER -6.4 -6.589 M4 mm +0.2 -- -- +0.2 GBP trade- 83.4 -- -- 82.7 weighted Sep Short 98.94 -- -- 98.88 stg FTSE 100 4,264 -- -- 4,400 NOTES Data listed for the previous meeting indicate data as they were available to policymakers at the time. Some numbers may have been revised since then. * The following data have not yet been released. Halifax house price data for June expected week of July 6 Producer price data for June due July 10 RELATED ITEMS For the latest MPC (A050540.KQ - news) comments, click on For voting patterns from recent meetings, click on Keywords: BRITAIN BANK/CHECKLIST

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