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Comment & Analysis

Tuesday December 2, 01:42 PM
INDICATORS - Egypt - Dec 2

--- INTEREST RATES --- Latest Date Pvs Rate 4 weeks ago 91-day T-bill yield 11.699 2/12 11.901 ---- 182-day T-bill yield 11.763 2/12 11.980 ---- 273-day T-bill yield
11.922 2/12 12.556 ---- 364-day T-bill yield 11.765 2/12 12.071 13.898 Central Bank (CBSU.PK - news) discount rate 11.5 18/9/08 11 11.5 Central bank o/n deposit 11.5 18/9/08 11 11.5 Central bank o/n lending 13.5 18/9/08 13 13.5 Overnight interbank 11.675 2/12/08 11.551 12.058 --- MONTHLY DATA --- Month Pvs Yr ago Countrywide CPI change Oct +21.2 +22.2 +21.2 (year-on-year, percent) Countrywide CPI index Oct 129.2 129.5 129.2 Urban consumer prices Oct +20.2 21.5 +7.5 (year/year, pct change) Urban consumer price Oct 127.5 127.6 106.1 index Producer price index Oct 157.5 163.3 134.7 Foreign reserves ($bln) Oct 35.03 35.02 30.92 Oil output (mln tonnes) Sept 2.891 3.006 2.707 Suez Canal ($mln) Oct 467.5 469.6 422.6 Money supply M2 (pct change yr/yr) Oct +13.16 +14.07 +17.12 --- QUARTERLY DATA --- Q4 2007/08* Q3 2007/08 Q4 2006/2007 (*provisional figures) (all in millions of dollars) Trade balance -6,626 -5,521 -5,554 Exports 8,518 7,735 6,119 Oil 4,552 3,899 2,782 Non-oil 3,966 3,836 3,338 Imports 15,144 13,256 11,673 Net services +4,170 +4,049 +2,922 Goods and services balance -2,456 -1,472 -2,631 Transfers +2,945 +2,165 +2,054 Current account balance +489 +693 -577 Capital account +3,545 +441 +1,338 Net errors/omissions -3,528 +694 +1,409 OVERALL BALANCE +506 +1,828 +2,170 Q4 2007/08 Q3 2007/08 Q4 2006/07 Tourism receipts ($mln) 2,603 2,643 1,825 Q4 2007/08 Q3 2006/07 Q4 2005/06 GDP growth (percent) +6.6 +7.5 +7.2 --- ANNUAL DATA --- 2007/2008* 2006/2007 2005/2006 (*preliminary figures) Real GDP growth (% change) 7.2 7.1 6.9 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ($mln) +5,420 +5,282 +3,253 Trade balance -23,415 -16,291 -11,986 Exports 29,356 22,018 18,455 Oil 14,473 10,108 10,222 Non-oil 14,883 11,910 8,233 Imports -52,771 -38,308 -30,441 Net services 14,966 11,498 8,191 Goods and services -8,449 -4,792 -3,795 Transfers 9,338 7,061 5,547 Current account +888 +2,269 +1,752 Capital account +7,137 +853 +3,511 Net errors/omissions -2,605 +2,160 -2,010 --- LONG-TERM CREDIT RATINGS --- Standard & Poors BB plus (non-investment grade) Moody's Ba1 (non-investment grade) Fitch BB plus (non-investment grade) * The base for the index has been changed to January 2007 Other notes: 1. Fiscal year is July-June. 2. Data from Central Bank except for the following: Interbank rate - Private banks CPI & Tourism - Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics Suez Canal & Oil production - Cabinet Information and Decision Support Centre ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ To access the following, click on the codes in brackets. Country codes All Egyptian news Economic indicator news Reuters News At a Glance Keywords: INDICATORS Egypt Dec 2

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