Wednesday July 1, 03:06 AM
Thailand Data Watch-June inflation data/foreign reserves
BANGKOK, July 1 (Reuters) - The following Thai economic
indicators are scheduled for release in the next two weeks.
DATE LOCAL/GMT INDICATOR/EVENT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
------------------------June 28 week---------------------------
Wed 1400/0700 CPI (NYSE: CPY - news) inflation Jun -4.1% y/y -3.3% y/y
Fri 1430/0730 Foreign reserves Jun 26 - $122.4 bln
Fri 1430/0730 BOT FX swaps Jun 26 - $6.5 bln
------------------------July 5 week----------------------------
Mon Special public holiday
Tue Buddhist Visakha Bhucha public holiday
Fri 1430/0730 Foreign reserves Jul 3 - -
Fri 1430/0730 BoT FX swaps Jul 3 - -
In July 2003, the Bank of Thailand repaid all multilateral
loans Thailand took between 1997 and 1999 under a package
arranged by the International Monetary Fund.
Thailand had foreign reserves of $122.4 billion on June 19.
THAILAND ECONOMIC DATA
The following is a list of the latest Thai economic data
(*indicates preliminary numbers, # denotes projected numbers):
MONTHLY DATA:
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep
-26.5 -25.2 -22.7 -11.1 -25.3 -15.7 -17.7 4.7 22.8
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug
-34.3 -36.4 -35.1 -43.5 -36.5 -8.8 0.2 23.5 38.6 26.9
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep
1.39 0.43 2.40 4.42 2.29 0.09 -0.94 -1.13 -0.28
Manufacturing Production Index (yr/yr pct terms)
May* Apr* Mar* Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug
-10.0 -9.7 -14.9 -19.9 -21.2 -18.6 -7.7 2.4 4.3 7.8
Headline Consumer Price Index (yr/yr pct terms)
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul
-3.3 -0.9 -0.2 -0.1 -0.4 0.4 2.2 3.9 6.0 6.4 9.2
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, month-end)
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep
121.5 117.0 116.5 113.3 110.7 111.0 106.3 103.2 102.4
Consumer Confidence Index for Overall Economy
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul
64.3 65.1 66.0 67.2 68.3 67.5 67.1 68.6 69.5 70.5 71.8
(A reading below 100 indicates relatively weak consumer
confidence compared with Thailand's pre-1997 sentiment, while a
figure above 100 reflects relatively strong confidence).
Business Sentiment Index
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul
45.4 39.2 40.0 37.4 36.3 36.9 34.4 38.3 41.0 40.7 41.5
(A reading above 50 indicates business sentiment has improved,
while a figure below 50 shows sentiment has worsened).
Baht Exchange Rate (per U.S. dlr, month-end)
Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct
34.02 34.38 35.29 35.52 36.05 34.93 34.93 35.47 34.99
Industrial Capacity Utilisation (pct of installed capacity)
May* Apr* Mar* Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul
60.3 56.7 62.5 54.8 57.0 57.3 57.8 65.3 66.6 68.2 70.6
Total Domestic Vehicle Sales (yr/yr pct terms)
May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep
-26.2 -27.4 -30.7 -29.8 -8.3 -20.2 -15.4 -10.5 -13.
Foreign Debt ($ bln, month-end)
Apr* Mar* Feb* Jan* Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul
65.7 66.4 63.9 63.79 61.7 61.6 60.7 59.8 59.8 59.8
QUARTERLY DATA:
GDP Growth (yr/yr pct terms)
Q1 09* Q4 09* Q3 08* Q2 08* Q1 08* Q4 07* Q3 07 Q2 07
-7.1 -4.2 3.9 5.3 6.0 5.7 5.1 4.4
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07
-19.9 -9.4 28.4 28.8 23.8 24.0 11.6 17.2 16.1
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07
-38.3 5.3 39.1 28.7 35.0 16.1 7.7 6.9 5.4
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)
Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07
9.11 -1.97 -1.35 0.11 3.03 6.18 2.78 0.79
Non-Performing Loans (pct of total lending, end-quarter)
Q3 04 Q3 04 Q2 04 Q1 04 Q4 03 Q3 03 Q2 03
11.41 12.18 11.94 13.48 16.17 16.79 16.75
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, end-quarter)
Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07
116.5 111.0 103.5 106.1 110.0 87.6 80.7 73.0 70.9
Total Foreign Debt ($ bln, end-quarter)
Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07 Q4 06 Q3 06 Q2 06
66.4 61.7 60.7 58.6 59.31 59.64 60.02 57.83
Debt Service Ratio (pct, end-quarter)
Q4 06 Q4 05 Q4 04* Q4 03 Q3 03 Q2 03 Q1 03 Q4 02 Q3 02
8.2 10.8 8.5 16.0 18.8 12.3 23.1 19.6 18.8
Prime Rate (Minimum Lending Rate) (end-quarter, annual % terms)
Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07 Q4 06 Q3 06
6.875 6.8-7.1 6.8-7.1 7.0-7.5 7.0-7.5 7.0-7.5 7.75-8.0
ANNUAL DATA:
GDP Growth (yr/yr pct terms)
2008* 2007* 2006* 2005* 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
2.6 4.9 5.2 4.6 6.3 7.1 5.3 2.2 4.8
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
2008* 2007* 2006* 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
16.8 17.3 17.0 15.0 21.6 17.4 5.7 -6.9
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
2008* 2007* 2006* 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
26.4 9.1 7.9 25.9 25.7 17.1 4.4 -2.8
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)(adjusted)
2008* 2007* 2006* 2005* 2004* 2003* 2002 2001
-0.18 15.8 2.2 -7.85 2.77 4.78 4.69 5.11
Headline Consumer Price Index (yr/yr pct terms)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
5.5 2.3 4.7 4.5 2.7 1.8 0.7 1.6 1.6
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, year-end)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999
111.0 87.6 67.0 52.1 49.8 43.1 38.9 33.0 32.7 34.8
Government Budget Balance (bln baht, fiscal year (Oct-Sept)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
-83.7 -130.2 -55.2 +11.9 -13.0 -19.3 -170.3
Baht/U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate (average)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
34.9 34.6 37.9 40.3 40.3 41.5 43.0 44.5
Prime Rate (Minimum Lending Rate) (annual pct terms)
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
6.9-7.1 7.75-8.0 6.25-6.5 5.5-5.75 5.5-5.75 6.5-7.0
Domestic Vehicle Sales (yr/yr pct terms)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
-2.5 -7.5 -3.0 12.4 17.4 30.2 37.8 13.3 20.1
Population (mln, year-end)
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
62.83 62.83 62.42 61.97 63.08 62.80 62.31 61.88
Sources: Bank of Thailand
National Economic and Social Development Board
Commerce Ministry
Finance Ministry
Budget Bureau
Toyota Motor Thailand
Federation of Thai Industries
($1 = 34.07 baht)
Keywords: THAILAND ECONOMY/INDICATORS
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